Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.384882 0.418296 0.454388 0.496460 0.544400 0.597617 0.661566
2025-11-09 0.323103 0.368320 0.420746 0.486803 0.568958 0.669360 0.803914
2025-11-16 0.286239 0.336451 0.397431 0.478447 0.585674 0.726465 0.932149
2025-11-23 0.260446 0.313228 0.379619 0.471543 0.599451 0.777774 1.058741
2025-11-30 0.246230 0.302302 0.375126 0.479911 0.632881 0.859204 1.244861
2025-12-07 0.231047 0.288297 0.364563 0.477776 0.649768 0.917527 1.406877
2025-12-14 0.218150 0.276045 0.354897 0.475229 0.664752 0.974123 1.579170
2025-12-21 0.204211 0.261206 0.340174 0.463330 0.662979 1.001782 1.703627
2025-12-28 0.198719 0.257636 0.341053 0.474813 0.699968 1.102416 2.005497
2026-01-04 0.192421 0.252391 0.338907 0.481075 0.728612 1.192802 2.318011
2026-01-11 0.185280 0.245408 0.333537 0.481422 0.746605 1.265631 2.617443
2026-01-18 0.176482 0.235454 0.322914 0.472011 0.745448 1.298800 2.826234
2026-01-25 0.167573 0.225103 0.311387 0.460719 0.740623 1.326047 3.040691
2026-02-01 0.159911 0.216295 0.301825 0.452150 0.740330 1.364324 3.313722
2026-02-08 0.153120 0.208459 0.293308 0.444645 0.741141 1.405432 3.621954
2026-02-15 0.147141 0.201569 0.285886 0.438433 0.743742 1.451511 3.980050
2026-02-22 0.144334 0.199445 0.286062 0.445962 0.775931 1.580138 4.771917
2026-03-01 0.139931 0.194583 0.281390 0.444042 0.787466 1.657220 5.415540
2026-03-08 0.135765 0.189901 0.276740 0.441751 0.797851 1.734074 6.146783
2026-03-15 0.130389 0.183056 0.268064 0.431037 0.787696 1.748505 6.551861
2026-03-22 0.128969 0.182515 0.270119 0.441376 0.827998 1.928717 8.266553
2026-03-29 0.126832 0.180698 0.269836 0.447009 0.857884 2.086630 10.189966
2026-04-05 0.123971 0.177564 0.267056 0.447321 0.874609 2.205923 12.119327